Bitcoin jumps 8% in 48 hours: is a market reversal on the horizon?

After months of fluctuations, bitcoin has finally surged past $65,000, reigniting optimism among investors.

Since its fall in July 2024, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has struggled to reclaim this level. Its recent movement led to millions in liquidations, but investor sentiment remains bullish, with 93% now in profit.

Despite the excitement, there are concerns about whether this is the beginning of a sustained rally or a temporary spike.

Bitcoin’s price movement and technical analysis

Bitcoin is currently trading at $67,126, solidifying its support at the upper boundary of a parallel channel that has constrained its price movement since March 2024.

Earlier this month, bitcoin found support at the median of this channel, a critical level that halted further declines.

An additional trendline, formed in March, provided secondary support, allowing the price to rise to $65,300, where it established a key support level.

It is now encountering resistance around $67,000, a significant psychological and technical barrier close to its previous all-time high.

Source: Coinpedia

While the price rise appears promising, the technical indicators suggest mixed signals.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 73.16, indicating that bitcoin is in overbought territory, which could lead to a price pullback.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a reduction in bullish momentum, with the histogram reflecting weaker buying pressure.

A potential retracement to $65,300 could occur before another upward bounce, indicating that the price rally may not be smooth.

Investor sentiment

The crypto market’s sentiment has shifted significantly, as shown by the Greed and Fear Index, which has climbed to 73 today, up from 65 yesterday.

This index measures market sentiment on a scale of 0 to 100, with higher numbers representing greed and lower numbers representing fear.

The rapid increase in Bitcoin’s price, rising around 8.45% in the last two days, has boosted investor optimism.

The RSI also jumped from 55 to 73.16 in the same period, reflecting increased market enthusiasm.

Source: Coinpedia

While the prevailing sentiment is bullish, excessive optimism can be dangerous. Historically, markets become more vulnerable to sudden corrections when traders and investors are overly optimistic.

As Bitcoin approaches resistance levels near its all-time high, caution is warranted.

Market liquidation data

Bitcoin’s sharp rise above $65,000 has had a profound impact on market participants, particularly leveraged traders.

In the last 24 hours, over 93,400 traders were liquidated, resulting in a total of $303.04 million in lost positions.

Notably, the most significant damage occurred between 24 and 12 hours ago, with $50.05 million in trades being wiped out during that time frame.

Source: Coinpedia

The long-to-short ratio, currently at 1.1683, indicates a dominance of long positions, with 53% of traders betting on further price increases.

This heavy optimism among traders can also create an environment ripe for a market reversal, particularly if bitcoin faces strong resistance at its current levels.

What to expect next

Despite the growing bullish sentiment, it’s essential for investors to remain cautious.

Bitcoin’s rapid price rise could lead to a correction, especially if the market becomes too saturated with optimism.

Market makers often take advantage of these moments, triggering price retracements that lead to substantial profits.

While many in the crypto space are eager to see bitcoin reach a new all-time high, it’s crucial to manage expectations and avoid being swept up in the market euphoria.

The next few days will be pivotal in determining whether this is a sustainable rally or a temporary surge.

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