Crypto market today: failed Dogecoin recovery, potential BTC bull trap

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Crypto market today failed DOGE recovery, potential bull trap as BTC, ETH enters consolidation

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing uncertainty today, as Dogecoin (DOGE), Bitcoin (BTC), and Ethereum (ETH) exhibit signs of hesitation, with recent movements highlighting potential trend reversals, failed rallies, and tightening consolidations under key resistance levels.

While optimism remains among bulls, the broader price action suggests traders are navigating a complex market landscape defined by volatility, liquidation imbalances, and a possible shift in momentum.

Dogecoin liquidation imbalance wipes out longs

Dogecoin has faced a sharp rejection following an attempted recovery rally, which instead triggered a brutal wave of liquidations concentrated in long positions.

According to CoinGlass data, DOGE long traders lost $123,000 in just one hour, as prices dipped from $0.232 to $0.2266 amid a sudden sentiment shift that surprised bullish participants.

The sharp liquidation created a staggering 200% imbalance, spotlighting the fragility of the meme coin’s support as it attempted to build momentum above its previous swing high.

Although the price has slightly recovered to $0.2268, the move does little to restore confidence, especially as trading volume declined by 0.9% to settle at $1.32 billion.

The narrow range between $0.2200 and $0.2300 has become a consolidation zone for DOGE, and while it signals that the market is stabilising, it also suggests indecision among traders.

Unless the price can sustain a close above $0.2255 with rising volume, the likelihood of a meaningful breakout remains low, keeping bearish pressure intact in the short term.

Moreover, the broader market trend—especially Bitcoin’s current volatility—continues to influence DOGE sentiment, with the meme token mirroring the larger liquidation patterns seen across major crypto assets.

Market analysts are eying the $0.27 resistance level as a key pivot point, with a decisive move above that threshold required to validate any sustained bullish reversal.

Bitcoin retraces as analysts debate bull trap vs new all-time high

Bitcoin has pulled back below the $109,000 mark after hitting a new all-time high of $111,800 last week, raising questions about the sustainability of its recent rally.

The 3% retracement has reignited a split among market analysts, with some interpreting the pullback as a healthy consolidation, while others warn of a potential bull trap forming at the top.

Technical expert Doctor Profit remains firmly bullish, citing the rare appearance of a Golden Cross on higher time frames—an indicator that has historically preceded major upside moves in Bitcoin.

He highlighted that previous Golden Cross signals, such as those in October 2023 and October 2024, led to gains of 170% and 73%, respectively, with the latest signal possibly targeting $113,000 in the near term.

#Bitcoin – What’s Next? The Big Sunday Report: All You Need to Know 🚩TA/LCA/Psychological Breakdown: Today, we’re highlighting one major signal that strongly reinforces my entire thesis: Bitcoin’s bullish run is far from over and it’s likely to go much further than most

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However, the contrasting view comes from analyst Cameron Fous, who warns that Bitcoin may already be peaking, drawing comparisons with historical market tops that were followed by steep declines.

Fous pointed out that breaking below the 50-day moving average could signal an early trend reversal, especially if the current consolidation lacks the volume to support another leg up.

Despite his cautious outlook, he acknowledged that BTC could still see price surges toward $130,000 or even $200,000 in the short term, provided bullish conditions persist.

Adding to the complexity is the continued accumulation of Bitcoin by large institutional players like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), which recently made another purchase that contributes to tightening supply.

ETF inflows also remain a crucial variable, with current capital flows into Bitcoin ETFs being nine times higher than the amount of BTC mined, reinforcing long-term bullish potential.

Nevertheless, the conflicting narratives have kept the market in a state of limbo, with price action on the daily chart showing tightening movement just below all-time highs.

Ethereum enters consolidation as bulls eye breakout

Ethereum is coiling below a major resistance level at $2,700, where it has remained for several weeks while maintaining a bullish continuation pattern that has yet to resolve.

The price structure is showing signs of strength, with an ascending triangle forming, marked by higher lows that indicate buyers are gradually pressuring the market toward a breakout.

Despite recent volatility, ETH has respected its trendline, and sellers have repeatedly failed to drive the price below critical support levels, reinforcing overall bullish sentiment.

The longer Ethereum consolidates within this structure without breaking down, the stronger the foundation becomes for a breakout toward higher price targets, possibly as high as $4,000.

Volume remains a crucial element in this setup, and while it has declined during the consolidation phase, this is often interpreted as a coiling effect before a high-momentum breakout.

However, market observers caution that a breakout attempt without sufficient volume could result in a bull trap, mirroring risks observed in Bitcoin’s recent behaviour.

What makes the current formation constructive is the absence of bearish reversal signals, which suggests that Ethereum’s trend is intact and accumulation is likely occurring just beneath resistance.

As ETH continues to post higher highs and higher lows, the probability of a sustained rally increases, provided that the breakout is accompanied by strong buying activity.

If momentum accelerates above $2,700, Ethereum could enter a price discovery phase, with limited resistance ahead and historical precedence supporting the potential for rapid expansion.

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