Future of crypto regulation: How much impact will US presidential election have?

As the 2024 US presidential election approaches, the cryptocurrency industry finds itself at a critical juncture.

With millions of dollars being spent on political donations, crypto companies are hoping to sway the outcome in favor of more lenient regulation.

The stakes are high, as the election could define the future of cryptocurrency regulation in the United States, a country that plays a pivotal role in the global crypto market.

Meanwhile, US regulators, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), are intensifying their scrutiny of the sector, highlighting the tension between innovation and oversight.

Crypto space is ‘rife with fraud, hucksters, and grifters’

SEC Chair Gary Gensler recently told the BBC that the cryptocurrency space is “rife with fraud, hucksters, and grifters,” noting that many global investors have lost substantial sums due to companies skirting regulatory frameworks.

Gensler emphasized that laws governing capital markets are meant to protect investors, and that crypto companies should not be an exception.

This tough stance on the industry contrasts sharply with the political donations flowing into campaigns ahead of November’s elections, as the crypto sector seeks to influence the legislative environment.

The upcoming election will not only decide the next president but also reshape the makeup of Congress, with all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 33 Senate seats up for grabs.

One of the most notable issues dividing the candidates is their stance on cryptocurrency.

Former President Donald Trump, who is seeking to regain the presidency, has made bold promises to crypto enthusiasts.

He pledges to turn America into “the crypto capital of the planet” and even suggested establishing a “strategic national Bitcoin stockpile” akin to the country’s gold reserves.

Trump’s newfound support for crypto marks a significant reversal from his earlier stance.

Just three years ago, he dismissed Bitcoin as a “scam” and a threat to the US dollar.

However, his recent launch of a new crypto business venture, World Liberty Financial, signals a shift in his thinking.

While details of the venture are sparse, Trump’s rhetoric aligns with the growing influence of the crypto industry in US politics.

On the other side, the Biden administration, with Vice President Kamala Harris now running for the presidency, has maintained a much tougher approach to cryptocurrency.

High-profile crackdowns on crypto firms

In recent years, the administration has overseen a series of high-profile crackdowns on crypto firms.

For example, Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of FTX, was sentenced to 25 years in prison for defrauding billions from customers.

Changpeng Zhao, the founder of Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, also faced legal troubles, receiving a four-month prison sentence and a $4.3 billion fine after admitting to facilitating money laundering on his platform.

The SEC has also ramped up enforcement, with 46 actions taken against crypto firms in 2023 alone.

Gensler has repeatedly stressed that crypto companies must comply with established laws designed to safeguard investors. he warned:

Crypto is just a small piece of the US and global capital markets, but it can erode trust in the broader system

Only 7% of Americans used crypto in 2023

Despite these regulatory efforts, crypto remains a divisive issue.

While supporters argue that digital currencies offer a fast, secure, and decentralized way to transfer funds, others highlight the risks of fraud and market instability.

A recent Federal Reserve survey found that only 7% of Americans used crypto in 2023, down from 12% in 2021, signaling a decline in its domestic popularity.

Kamala Harris has not been vocal on cryptocurrency policy, but one of her advisors recently indicated that she would back measures ensuring that emerging technologies, like crypto, have room to grow within a regulated framework.

Meetings between Harris’s team and crypto industry executives have aimed at fostering dialogue and understanding, offering some optimism that a Harris administration could strike a balance between regulation and innovation.

By August, the sector had already spent a record $119 million on political donations, according to data from consumer advocacy group Public Citizen.

Globally, the US is not alone in grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrency.

The European Union recently passed laws aimed at reducing the risks associated with crypto, while the G20 is working on creating minimum standards.

However, progress has been slow, and many nations are still figuring out how to best handle the growing crypto market.

As the US heads toward a pivotal election, the future of cryptocurrency regulation hangs in the balance.

With both political and regulatory forces at play, the outcome could shape the industry for years to come, not only in the US but across the globe.

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