Technical analysis using matrix method (2023/11/30) Bitcoin, technical remains weak: Rakuten Wallet | CoinDesk JAPAN

11 months ago 70

In this article, we will evaluate the Bitcoin market in 5 stages (5 → 1: strong → weak) using 1) pattern analysis, 2) moving average line (9MA, 25MA), 3) Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, 4) Bollinger Bands, 5) MACD, and 6) RSI using six typical types of technical analysis. The strength and weakness of the market is evaluated based on the average.
I believe that fixed point observation and objectivity are important in technical analysis. The aim is to eliminate arbitrariness and increase accuracy by combining multiple representative analysis methods.

summary

The overall score was 2.5, same as last time. The pattern is a triangle hold, with Bollinger suggesting a squeeze and flattening. The moving average is a dead cross, and Ichimoku is starting to see an improvement in the three roles. MACD and RSI continue to diverge, but there are no major adjustments, making it look strange.

pattern analysis

Triangle holding continues. In fact, the resistance at $38,000 in dollar terms (5.65-5.75 million yen in yen prices) has broken out a little, but as the dollar/yen has fallen, it has bounced back in yen terms. As far as I can see, there is no sense of direction.

moving average line

The 9MA is flat, the 25MA is upward, and the two lines are getting closer, but they have barely reached a dead cross.

Rating: 3

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

If the trend remains flat, the lagging line may catch up with the candlestick and the three-way upturn may be resolved.

Rating 4

bollinger bands

The band that had squeezed but was wide is now shrinking, making it clear that the uptrend has come to a halt and has entered a plateau.

Rating: 3

MACD

Divergence continues, suggesting a market reversal.

Rating: 1

RSI

The RSI also continues to diverge, or rather it is expanding, suggesting a correction.

Rating: 1

Rating

*This article is a reprint of the Rakuten Wallet technical report.

*This article provides information for reference when making investment decisions, but is not intended to recommend stocks or solicit investment activities. Furthermore, Rakuten Wallet does not solicit investments or make definitive predictions.
*The information sent may include future predictions, but it is the opinion of the individual sender, and its accuracy and reliability are not guaranteed. Please make your own final investment decisions.

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